Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
IAManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Google (96.8%)
Resolvido: 1 de ago. de 2025, 02:25
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualGoogle 96.8%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
193
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 198 dias
Desatualizado1/05/25, 4:4031/07/25, 23:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
OpenAI3%
xAI0%
Anthropic0%
Google96.8%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot0.1%
Other0.1%
96.8%
3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 255,6 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 143,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 130,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,8 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- A Manifold Markets cota Google em 97% em 4 de fevereiro de 2026.
- Quando Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) é resolvido?
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de julho de 2025.
- Como Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.