Previsão da comunidade atual
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 36.6%Líder entre 16 opções
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado24/02/25, 22:56 UTC31/12/29, 23:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will govern Thuringia after the next state election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiRegras
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
