Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 65%Líder entre 7 opções
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14
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+4.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado3/08/23, 14:36 UTC1/01/99, 22:59 UTC
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FutuurWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiRegras
Tuberculosis is a curable and preventable infectious disease.
- And yet, over 10 million people fall ill with it every year, and over 1.5 million people die.
- Resolves to the year in which the WHO reports less than 1 million people dying from TB or the year there are less then 1 million humans alive.
- I will add a new year as answers as time goes by.
- So if you predict this will happen later than 2029 you can bet on 'Other.'
- Relvant links:
