Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore Jan 2027 55.4%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
15/12/25, 14:16 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
- “Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
- The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
- Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
- Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before Jan 2027 em 55% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? é resolvido?
- When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria