Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2027-06-01 92.3%+1.4ptLíder entre 38 opções
Previsores
73
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+1.4 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
15/03/24, 14:03 UTC1/01/28, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessRegras
The market will resolve positively when SpaceX Starship rocket first launches any commercial or scientific payload into orbit.
- It could be a Starlink satellite, a commercial satellite from another company, or a scientific satellite even if it is launched pro bono.
- Mass simulator or meme payloads like Elon's car do not count.
- The payload should be deployed into the desired initial orbit (or an orbit close enough that it could be corrected by the satellite itself).
- The market will resolve even if the satellite itself malfunctions after the deployment.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Starship first launch with useful payload??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2027-06-01 em 92% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Starship first launch with useful payload? é resolvido?
- When will Starship first launch with useful payload? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como When will Starship first launch with useful payload? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The market will resolve positively when SpaceX Starship rocket first launches any commercial or scientific payload into orbit.