When will peaceful democratic transition of power happen in Russia for the first time?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoRússia / Ucrânia3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Before 2050 37.4%Líder entre 5 opções
Before 2050 37.4%Previsores
27
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 20 minutos
20/02/24, 15:35 UTC2/01/30, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
So far at no point in Russian history has the power in the country transitioned to the opposition as a result of a democratic election.
- All power transitions happened either to a designated successor, or within the same party or political force, or via some sort of revolution or regime change.
- Will peaceful transition of power happen for the first time in foreseeable future?
- For this market to resolve positively, the following has to happen:
- A candidate not endorsed by the ruling party or force has to win in the presidential elections.
- They should assume office within the next few months after the elections.
