Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2051 50.4%Líder entre 5 opções
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8
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado23/09/25, 15:38 UTC31/12/50, 23:59 UTC
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This market predicts the year when OpenAI will achieve its stated goal of creating "a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week."
- Context: In his blog post "Abundant Intelligence," (https://blog.samaltman.com/abundant-intelligence) Sam Altman wrote: "Our vision is simple: we want to create a factory that can produce a gigawatt of new AI infrastructure every week.
- The execution of this will be extremely difficult; it will take us years to get to this milestone and it will require innovation at every level of the stack, from chips to power to building to robotics."
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the year when OpenAI officially announces or credible sources confirm that it has achieved the capability to produce 1 gigawatt of new AI infrastructure on a weekly basis.
- Resolution Sources:
- OpenAI official announcements: https://openai.com/blog
