When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
InflationOne-OffRegulamentaçãoHealth & MedicineCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2048-2054 15%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 horas
Desatualizado12/08/26, 00:16 UTC1/01/00, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a gene-editing therapy designed to safely and permanently reduce human sleep requirements becomes commercially or clinically available to consumers for a total cost of $10 million USD or less (including the therapeutic agents and the required medical procedure).
- To satisfy the resolution criteria, the therapy must meet the following conditions:
- Target Mechanism: The therapy must target genetic pathways scientifically associated with sleep duration or sleep efficiency (such as DEC2, ADRB1, NPSR1, GRM1, or equivalent sleep-regulating genes).
- Availability: The treatment must be legally accessible to paying patients, either via approval from a major regulatory body (e.g., the US FDA or EMA) or through a verified, legally operating commercial clinic (including medical tourism).
- Cost: The total retail or out-of-pocket price for a single patient must be publicly documented as $10 million USD or less (adjusted for inflation from 2026).
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2048-2054 em 15% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? é resolvido?
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria