Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2028 20.2%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado22/11/25, 20:48 UTC22/11/30, 20:46 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
Resolve when someone demonstrates that a very hard-to-recognize image recognition CAPTCHA (one that humans can barely recognize) can nevertheless be consistently recognized by a freely available LLM.
- Update 2025-11-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve when AI can solve any image recognition CAPTCHA better than humans, where "very hard to recognize" means designed to be hard for machines to recognize (not just arbitrary tasks that happen to be easier for LLMs than humans).
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will AI be better at Captcha than an average human?
- A Manifold Markets cota 2028 em 20% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will AI be better at Captcha than an average human é resolvido?
- When will AI be better at Captcha than an average human deverá ser resolvido em 22 de novembro de 2030.
- Como When will AI be better at Captcha than an average human é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolve when someone demonstrates that a very hard-to-recognize image recognition CAPTCHA (one that humans can barely recognize) can nevertheless be consistently recognized by a freely available LLM.