Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 00:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualBefore 2027-04-01 52.3%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
31
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado7/03/24, 13:54 UTC14/03/28, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Rizzler start streaming on Twitch by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHigh Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHigh Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill it be revealed that someone in the US was falsely convicted of a crime due to an AI generated video by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
This market covers videos generated by AI from scratch (for instance from a text prompt), not AI transformations of an input video, which have existed for some time now.
- The market will resolve positively when a channel on YouTube or Twitch will stream at least 25 hours of realtime AI-generated video in the span of 48 hours.
- Traditional procedurally generated videos do not count.
- There should be consensus in the community that the video is AI-generated.
- The channel owner should declare it, and no plausible refutation should be published within a week after the broadcast.
- If the channel owner remains silent, I might resolve the market based on a poll or the comments.