Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2027 71.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado8/08/25, 19:26 UTC1/08/29, 21:34 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to the first year when a freely available large language model achieves a gold medal-level performance at the International Mathematical Olympiad.
- The model must be available before day 1 of the IMO.
- I must be able to use the model without paying.
- For each year, directly after each day of the exam, I will pick the strongest LLMs and give them the problems independently.
- Each LLM has one attempt at each problem.
- I will then grade the problems.
