Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAcquired by Paramount 90.3%+54.6ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+54.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
17/12/25, 13:40 UTC30/06/27, 13:27 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.
- the named outcome means there is a purchase agreement in place but it is currently waiting for FCC or anti-trust lawsuits to go through.
- I asked ChatGPT what is the theoretical timeline once shareholders are onboard and he gives me:
- Optimistic (everything goes smoothly):
- ~9–12 months
- Base case (Second Request + remedies):
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 125,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 156,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,1 mil
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 mais resultados
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- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- A Manifold Markets cota Acquired by Paramount em 90% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? é resolvido?
- What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: 2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.