Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

A Manifold Markets cota Discovery of novel concept in mathematics em 73% em 21 de setembro de 2026.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

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Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Variação 7d

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

29/01/25, 16:28 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC

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Regras

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

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What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

Líder entre 5 opções

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Variação 7d

-12.7 pts

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado

29/01/25, 16:28 UTC1/01/30, 22:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

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Manifold Markets

Regras

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: A Manifold Markets cota Discovery of novel concept in mathematics em 73% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
Quando What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? é resolvido?: What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
Como What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

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