Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual85° S 30.6%Líder entre 11 opções
Previsores
1
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/04/26, 03:36 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the official landing coordinates of the first Artemis mission to successfully land (presumed Artemis IV) as confirmed by NASA.
- The winning answer will correspond to the degree of southern latitude of the actual landing site.
- Latitudes always round down.
- If the landing mission does not occur (e.g., if the mission is cancelled), the market will resolve to N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from NASA press releases or official mission reports available at nasa.gov.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
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- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
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- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
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- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing??
- A Manifold Markets cota 85° S em 31% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? é resolvido?
- What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria