Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2028 19.2%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado4/07/24, 18:19 UTC12/07/35, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
- Resolves when official financial reporting is available, showing their revenue minus expenses was positive for OpenAI, in any year.
- Resolves that year to "Yes" and all other options to "No".
- We can add more years if they are still running but haven't made a profit yet.
- If they go out of business first, then we resolve to "the named outcome".
Mercados abertos
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2028 em 19% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit? é resolvido?
- What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de julho de 2035.
- Como What will be the first year OpenAI makes a net profit? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.