Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo convergence on a term by EOY 2027 40.5%Líder entre 6 opções
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8
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado1/06/25, 16:59 UTC1/01/28, 17:53 UTC
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Just as "vibecoding" and "slop" quickly became the established terms for the novel AI-driven phenomena they were describing, one might expect convergence on a popular term for the possibility of mass job loss precipitated by modern AI.
- A qualifying term must be mainly used to refer to AI job loss in general, or the abstract idea of a set of AI-induced layoff, rather than a specific set of layoffs or job loss in a particular economic sector (more specific than "white-collar workers").
- I'll resolve if it seems like popular culture has mostly converged on a single term.
- This will necessarily be a vibes-y resolution.
- To decide when to resolve, I'll draw from sources including popular X posts, Reddit, and news articles (a la this one about vibecoding in the NYT).
- I'll also give time for commenters to discuss the extent to which a term has solidified, and the extent to which there are extant rival terms, before resolving.
