Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBougainville 29.1%Líder entre 15 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado2/04/24, 17:37 UTC1/01/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 643,2 mil
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-3.5pt12.2%
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POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt81%
- Yes-5.0pt19%
- Volume total
- € 9,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 261 mil
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.2pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
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- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
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- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What countries will join the UN before 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota Bougainville em 29% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What countries will join the UN before 2030 é resolvido?
- What countries will join the UN before 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como What countries will join the UN before 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a country is accepted but hasn’t completed joining by 2030 it still counts