What caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop on November 13, 2026?
41.7 pts (24h)Política dos EUAOne-Off1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSoftware bug, failed update, configuration or operator error (no attacker, no AI) 76.7%+41.7ptLíder entre 9 opções
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152
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
+41.7 pts
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Atualizado há 1 minuto
13/11/26, 21:57 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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On Friday, November 13, 2026, the FAA ordered a ground stop for all US airports, citing "extraordinary circumstances".
- Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy attributed it to "a communication issue impacting all Air Route Traffic Control Centers".
- When this market opened, officials had given no root cause, and CNN cited two law enforcement officials saying preliminary reports indicated it was not a cyberattack.
- Resolves to the one answer that best describes the root cause of the communications failure behind the ground stop, as publicly established by December 31, 2026 (Pacific time).
- What counts as established: statements or reports from the FAA, DOT, DHS or CISA, the FBI, the NTSB, the White House or the DOT inspector general, or reporting by a major outlet (Reuters, AP, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Bloomberg or similar) that investigators reached a finding.
- Speculation, early anonymous impressions and claims of responsibility do not count on their own.