Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 68%
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5
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado8/08/26, 16:59 UTC8/02/27, 16:58 UTC
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Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) on X
- [link preview]
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- € 135,2 mil
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam é resolvido?
- "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam deverá ser resolvido em 8 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como "we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Joshua Achiam (@jachiam0) on X