Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore February 2027 70.9%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado31/08/26, 14:57 UTC1/02/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
The '+' means any version at or above V4.1 counts: if DeepSeek skips V4.1 and releases V4.2 Pro or V5 Pro, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Only the Pro tier counts — a Flash release does not resolve this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called DeepSeek V4.1 Pro, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
Mercados abertos
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- € 225,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 157 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 348,3 mil
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de V4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date?
- A Manifold Markets cota Before February 2027 em 71% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando V4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date é resolvido?
- V4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como V4.1+ Pro (DeepSeek) release date é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The '+' means any version at or above V4.1 counts: if DeepSeek skips V4.1 and releases V4.2 Pro or V5 Pro, that still counts for the purpose of this market.