Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
US PoliticsYearlyGeopolíticaRussia / UkraineChinaEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado22/01/26, 01:18 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
PolymarketWill the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
Manifold MarketsUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketWill Beyonce release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2026?
FutuurRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the US and Denmark reach a formal deal regarding Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- The deal must involve a binding agreement between the US and Denmark (with Greenland as a party) that transfers some form of sovereignty, control, or significant rights over Greenland to the United States.
- This includes outright purchase, lease arrangements, or other formal territorial transfers.
- The deal must involve more than a framework or concept—it must be a finalized, legally binding agreement signed by all relevant parties.
- The market resolves NO if no such deal is reached by year-end 2026.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? é resolvido?
- Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria