If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoUS PoliticsCrime & Justice1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65.7%
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Desatualizado10/03/24, 17:05 UTC3/11/26, 07:59 UTC
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According to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, peak in 2023 was 1.8 per 100,000 population, averaged across 18 metros:
- https://infogram.com/ct_report-homicide-1hmr6g7pmkyqo6n
- https://counciloncj.org/year-end-2023-crime-trends/
- Resolved based on the CCJ’s 2026 report, published after the 2026 midterm elections.
- Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease? é resolvido?
- If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: According to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, peak in 2023 was 1.8 per 100,000 population, averaged across 18 metros: