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Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 06:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 71.5%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
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Tipo de fonte
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado23/04/26, 16:55 UTC20/04/50, 16:51 UTC
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KalshiRegras
German Parliament (German Bundestag):
- The next new party (i.e., not the re-entry of an existing party such as the FDP, nor the splitting of a party already represented in the Bundestag into newly named subgroups) to enter the Bundestag will be an Islamic party.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the next political party to enter the German Bundestag (German federal parliament) that was not previously represented in the current legislative period is primarily based on Islamic principles or explicitly identifies as an Islamic party.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Entering the Bundestag" means gaining at least one seat in the Bundestag following a federal election or by-election.