Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualClaude (Anthropic) 65.3%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-17.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado28/12/25, 11:35 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market will resolve based on the official LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard (Overall Category).
- Resolution Value: The market resolves to the Model Family that holds the #1 rank on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- If the leaderboard has a specific "last updated" timestamp, the update closest to (but not after) the deadline will be used.
- Definition of "Model Family":
- OpenAI: Includes all GPT-4, GPT-5, or subsequent models.
- Anthropic: Includes all Claude 3, 3.5, 4, or subsequent models.