Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Temple mount controlled by a Jewish group?

A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 19 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Temple mount controlled by a Jewish group é resolvido?

Temple mount controlled by a Jewish group deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2045.

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Currently it's controlled by Islam which has a mosque there.

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 68%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 hora

Atrasado

9/11/23, 18:20 UTC1/07/45, 06:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Currently it's controlled by Islam which has a mosque there.

This is about whether this froup gains control, at least long enough to begin construction of their own building on top, or other building or deconstruction activities.
If there is divided control it counts if they have at least 50% of the top flat surface area visible in the image.
By mid year 2045.