Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$1T 100%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 03:49 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 99,5 mil
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Volume total
- € 13,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 80,7 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 16,6 mil
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,4 mil
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
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- Conference to Win the National Championship
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- Ohio State vs Texas
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$1T em 100% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 é resolvido?
- SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como SpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.