Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 19 de jul. de 2026, 13:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atual≥$0.6T 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 dias
Desatualizado22/04/26, 3:491/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
≥$0.9T70%
Comparar plataformas· ≥$0.6T
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 73% | — | 2,2 mil € | 135,1 mil € | há 22 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 100% | — | — | — | há 8 dias |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
1.6 pts5m
73%
+1.5pt64%
+0.5pt53%
+12 mais resultados
74 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total819,9 mil €
Volume 24h2,2 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$4318 de jul.2d de dados19 de jul.
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Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
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When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
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Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for OpenAI credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).