Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual≥$0.8T 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-25.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 3:491/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
100%
100%
Regras
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2026-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abertos
Regulation
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+7.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 255,7 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt72%
- Yes+5.0pt28%
- Volume total
- € 6,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 94 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+2.0pt46%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-1.0pt40%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202865%
- Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt51%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt46%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 690,9 mil
GEMINIWill crypto market structure legislation become law?
- Before December 2026?25.5%
- Before 2027?22.5%
- Before November 2026?13.5%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 157,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,1 mil
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
- Meta’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of August 2026?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?
- Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by August 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota ≥$0.8T em 100% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 é resolvido?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2026-09-30.