Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJ.D. Vance 46.1%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado18/05/26, 11:08 UTC31/07/28, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 24%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 46%
- Também disponível em PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 41%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 48%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 43%
- — Republican Presidential Nominee
