Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualI get demoted from master once 100%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
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Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado29/12/25, 08:35 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
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100%
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100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.
- Will not bet besides setting initial odds
- Resolution Criteria
- Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Net worth includes both the creator's bots and their main account combined.
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 125,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,9 mi
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 156,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 26,1 mil
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 mais resultados
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- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Predict my 2026 manifold journey?
- A Manifold Markets cota I get demoted from master once em 100% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Predict my 2026 manifold journey é resolvido?
- Predict my 2026 manifold journey deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Predict my 2026 manifold journey é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.