Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.1%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado7/11/25, 19:08 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM PT on December 31, 2026, OpenAI offers AI compute services (training or inference) to external customers through ANY of the following:
- Public cloud service offering:
- Publicly accessible platform where customers can purchase/rent compute
- Website or portal allowing sign-ups for compute access
- Published pricing for compute hours/tokens
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
- Volume total
- € 19,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 475,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-6.5pt73%
- December 15,-9.0pt66%
- November 30,-18.0pt49%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-2.0pt83%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt14%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt8%
- Volume total
- € 12,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,9 mil
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura97%
+26 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,3 mil
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 92% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? é resolvido?
- OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria