Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 54.1%
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24
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado30/10/25, 13:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Meta plans capital expenditures of $66-72 billion in 2025 and expects similarly large increases in 2026 to bring additional AI compute capacity online.
- Zuckerberg revealed plans to build several multi-gigawatt datacenter clusters, with the first (Prometheus) coming online in 2026, and a second (Hyperion) scaling up to 5GW over several years.
- Meta is targeting deployment of more than one million GPUs to support next-generation AI models.
- However, Meta signed a $14.2 billion contract with CoreWeave to supply compute services for AI through 2031, and Meta also signed a six-year agreement with Google Cloud valued at more than $10 billion for AI model training and deployment.
- This indicates Meta is currently a buyer of external compute rather than a seller.
- Considerations
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-6.5pt73%
- December 15,-9.0pt66%
- November 30,-18.0pt49%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-3.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-2.0pt83%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
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- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt14%
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KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
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- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt8%
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- Volume 24h
- € 7,9 mil
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura97%
+26 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 54% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? é resolvido?
- Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Meta plans capital expenditures of $66-72 billion in 2025 and expects similarly large increases in 2026 to bring additional AI compute capacity online.