Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualWet weather // D wins by 0%-2% margin 15.6%Líder entre 12 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado25/01/26, 02:13 UTC2/11/28, 01:02 UTC
Tendências
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This market asks two questions: What the Republican/Democrat margin of victory will be in the tipping point state for the 2028 US POTUS election, and whether the weather will be wet in the state on election day.
- The criteria for what counts as rainy weather will be:
- Look at the top 5 cities in the state by population
- Check if it precipitated in those cities according to the citywide weather icon for election day on Weather Underground
- Is the answer is "yes" for most of the people in those cities?
