Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.6%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado8/07/26, 20:24 UTC31/12/99, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.
- Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.5pt71%
- December 15,+4.0pt65%
- November 30,-5.5pt45%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 68,3 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL-13.0pt34%
- Baidu-14.0pt34%
- Tencent32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt85%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No+1.0pt93.1%
- Yes-1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13,3 mil
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Macron president by 2100?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Macron president by 2100 é resolvido?
- Macron president by 2100 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como Macron president by 2100 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria