Macron leads EU before 2040?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffGeopolíticaEuropeCentral BanksEleiçãoPolítica13a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 65.7%
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4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado2/09/25, 14:50 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Macron leads EU before 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Macron leads EU before 2040? é resolvido?
- Macron leads EU before 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2039.
- Como Macron leads EU before 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.