Macron leads EU before 2040?
Eventos corporativosOne-OffGeopolíticaEuropaBancos centraisEleiçãoPolítica13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 65.7%
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Atualizado há 54 minutos
Atrasado2/09/25, 14:50 UTC31/12/39, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves as YES if Emmanuel Macron becomes the leader of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- Resolution criteria
- What “leader” means (any of these count)
- Head of state or head of government of the European Union or its successor polity (even if largely ceremonial), e.g., President, Prime Minister, Monarch/King/Emperor, Supreme/Paramount Leader, Regent, or military ruler (de facto or de jure).
- Top EU institutional chief whose role is commonly regarded as the EU’s primary political leadership, including President of the European Commission or President of the European Council (or any future office that replaces/combines them into the EU’s apex executive).
- Member of a collective top executive (e.g., co-presidency, triumvirate) where each member is officially a head of state/government of the EU/successor.