In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
Tecnologia14a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2029-2030 36%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/01/24, 01:53 UTC1/01/41, 07:59 UTC
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0.5%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.
- Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
- All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
- This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
- 2 Starship launches
- 96 Falcon launches
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2029-2030 em 36% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? é resolvido?
- In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2041.
- Como In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches.