Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2026 91%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
143
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado27/05/24, 16:25 UTC1/01/31, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
0.4%
Mercados Relacionados
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Condition for resolving this market:
- At least 10000 commercial rides have happened
- Tesla's robotaxi is available to the general public in the US.
- So not behind a waitlist.
- The robotaxis are fully driverless and FSD.
- The type of car doesn’t matter nor if it has a steering wheel.
Mercados abertos
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- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
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- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026 em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? é resolvido?
- In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Condition for resolving this market: