Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2029 17.9%Líder entre 13 opções
2029 17.9%Previsores
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado16/09/23, 15:03 UTC1/01/36, 04:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
First year where (number of Starship launches that year) > (number of Falcon 9 launches that year).
- Any launch that clears the pad counts as a launch.
- Suborbital launches count.
- Falcon Heavy doesn't count towards the Falcon 9 number.
- If either rocket is renamed but is still obviously the same rocket, it still counts towards its previous name.
- If either rocket is redesigned but keeps the same name, it still counts.
