Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2029 17.9%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado16/09/23, 15:03 UTC1/01/36, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurRegras
First year where (number of Starship launches that year) > (number of Falcon 9 launches that year).
- Any launch that clears the pad counts as a launch.
- Suborbital launches count.
- Falcon Heavy doesn't count towards the Falcon 9 number.
- If either rocket is renamed but is still obviously the same rocket, it still counts towards its previous name.
- If either rocket is redesigned but keeps the same name, it still counts.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
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- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
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- € 1,1 mi
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
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- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
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- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2029 em 18% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9? é resolvido?
- In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2036.
- Como In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: First year where (number of Starship launches that year) > (number of Falcon 9 launches that year).