FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 93%
Não 93%Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
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Atualizado há 1 minuto
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegras
This market aims to predict whether SpaceX will launch at least one Starship spacecraft without a human crew to Mars by December 31, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the referred date, the Starship is effectively launched towards Mars and successfully leaves the orbit of the Earth, regardless of whether or not it successfully reaches the orbit of Mars and lands on the planet's surface.
- This market may resolve to "No" before the end of 2026 if SpaceX officially announces that it will NOT launch such a mission to Mars by the referred date.
