Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2032 92.5%Líder entre 10 opções
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9
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado5/08/26, 08:15 UTC31/12/35, 22:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
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FutuurRegras
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2032 em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? é resolvido?
- When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2035.
- Como When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.