Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 84.4%
Previsores
48
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado16/10/24, 06:00 UTC20/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Manifold MarketsWill the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTrump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
PolymarketWho will control the House?
KalshiRegras
Resolves 'YES' if Vance issues written declaration to Congress that Trump is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, as described in Section 4 of the Twenty-fifth Amendment.
- Resolves 'YES' immediately upon such a declaration, even if Trump is only temporarily divested of authority.
- Would also resolve 'YES' if Trump voluntarily transfers presidential authority to Vance, as described in Section 3 of the Twenty-fifth Amendment, IF AND ONLY IF Vance assumes presidential authority for a continuous duration in excess of one week (7 days).
- Resolves 'N/A' if Trump is not elected President in 2024.
- See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty-fifth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution
- 2024-11-21: Edited title "If Trump wins the 2024 election, will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority?" -> "Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?"
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? · Before Jan 20, 2029 20%