Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 87.7%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado2/09/24, 21:08 UTC20/01/29, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Section 4 of the 25th Amendment provides, in relevant part, a process to declare the President unable to perform the duties of the office.
- If the Vice President and a majority of the Cabinet (or of another body as Congress may by law provide) submit a declaration to Congress, the Vice President immediately assumes the role of Acting President.
- When this declaration is transmitted to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives to Congress, the Vice President immediately assumes the role of Acting President.
- This market will resolve YES when this initial declaration is transmitted regardless of subsequent action (e.g. congressional overruling, judicial intervention, refusal of the president to step aside, etc.).
- The invocation of Section 3 will under no circumstances resolve this market to YES unless Section 4 is invoked after the invocation of Section 3.
- Any and all Constitutional questions will be resolved in accordance with the article linked here unless the Supreme Court issues a controlling opinion that is directly contrary to an opinion expressed in the article at least 6 weeks before the invocation of Section 4.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029? é resolvido?
- Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Section 4 of the 25th Amendment provides, in relevant part, a process to declare the President unable to perform the duties of the office.