Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?
One-OffPolítica dos EUAPolíticaEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92.2%
Não 92.2%Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado6/11/24, 20:14 UTC22/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This question resolves YES if Section 4 of the 25th Amendment is invoked against President Trump by his Vice President and a majority of his cabinet (or other body as Congress may designate, per the Amendment) before the end of Donald Trump's second term on 20 Jan 2029.
- Section 4 of the 25th Amendment allows the Vice President and a majority of a president's cabinet to declare that the president is unable to perform his duties, and thereby transfer presidential powers to the Vice President.
- This question resolves NO on 21 Jan 2029 if Section 4 of the 25th Amendment has not been invoked against President Donald Trump before then.
- This question may resolve NO early if Donald Trump ceases to be president for other reasons and therefore cannot have Section 4 of the 25th Amendment used against him (e.g. death, resignation, removal via impeachment).
