If the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 78.3%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado6/12/24, 20:43 UTC19/11/76, 21:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US buys Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf U.S. buys Greenland by EOY, will it be purchased for $500B-$700B?
Manifold MarketsTipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
KalshiWill my mom vote for a Democrat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegras
Argument against: Greenland is basically an eastern version of Alaska, which is consistently Republican, and it's on the far right of the continent, which kabbalistically implies it should be right wing.
- Argument for: It's Europe-adjacent and majority minority, and the continent is actually oriented in reverse because something something Panama Canal.