Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleição1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
New Hampshire · —
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Preço registado
New Hampshire 87.5%Líder entre 4 opções
New Hampshire 87.5%Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
458,4 €
Contratos em aberto
40,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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New HampshireSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
27/07/26, 17:07 UTC1/04/28, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · New Hampshire
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which state will host the first Democratic presidential primary in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
KalshiWho will win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
PredictItRegras
If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regras de cada resultado
- New Hampshire
- If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iowa
- If Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Carolina
- If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
