If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUA1aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 75.3%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 02:14 UTC2/01/28, 17:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/16-10/23)
KalshiRegras
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if VoteHub's polling average of Donald Trump's job approval is 40.0% or higher for January 1, 2028 (the value VoteHub shows for that date).
- If VoteHub's average is unavailable, uses the RealClearPolling average instead.
- Resolves NO otherwise, and N/A if Trump is not President on that date.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
