If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
BitcoinYearlyCorretorasCoinbasePolítica dos EUA1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 82.6%
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2
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado7/10/26, 02:51 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Coinbase's BTC-USD price at 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2028 (the daily close for December 31, 2027) is above $150,000.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.