Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual8 or fewer 44%+8.9ptLíder entre 8 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+29.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
14/08/26, 8:3130/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC?
- A Manifold Markets cota 8 or fewer em 44% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC é resolvido?
- How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=