Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71.9%
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18
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado21/07/23, 00:31 UTC2/01/00, 04:59 UTC
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This question will resolve as Yes if the human population decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less, and the cause is principally due to Artificial Intelligence systems.
- Years are here defined as consecutive calendar years.
- I.e. resolves YES if both of the following resolve YES:
- https://manifold.markets/jack/global-catastrophe-series-by-2100-w and
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/
- [link preview]
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100? é resolvido?
- Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2100.
- Como Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will resolve as Yes if the human population decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less, and the cause is principally due to Artificial Intelligence systems.