Previsão da comunidade atual
Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] 69%+19.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+19.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado20/09/26, 07:34 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
KalshiWhen in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will US federal government debt as a percent of GDP be in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Brazil's federal government meet its primary fiscal surplus target in 2026?
FutuurFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.
- Each answer resolves independently.
- “Enters government” means an AfD Bundeskanzler and AFD-lead coalition.
- Let Y be the calendar year in which this first happens after this market’s preparation.
- We compare annual figures for Y−1, the last calendar year before entry, with Y+3, the third full calendar year after entry.
- Each answer resolves YES if its stated change occurs, and NO otherwise.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 193,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 710,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 584,6 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 407,5 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,9 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- A Manifold Markets cota Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] em 69% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures é resolvido?
- Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.